In this context what do you mean by "first shot" ?
First shot after cleaning?
First shot from a lubricated barrel?
First shot on a given day?
FIrst shot ever fired from the barrel?
First shot when the barrel is cold?
First shot from a full magazine?
First shot after releasing the bolt catch manually?
First shot after lowering the bolt gently on the first round?
Something else?
Any of those could give a low first shot and each could have different reasons.
As to how often, the answer must be "only once" if it's to be only the first shot in any context.
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